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SunSurfer

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Everything posted by SunSurfer

  1. And to Dave Paulger, same ranking pairing in the Methuselah ranks!
  2. 1/ The origin of the epidemic is an infection in a single person. 2/ The virus is not alive. It is a piece of ribo-nucleic acid (RNA) that hijacks the production machinery of cells to create a gazillion copies of itself. This results in a the sufferer a) developing an illness of varying severity and b) starting to shed the virus into their immediate environment. The sufferers immune system over time acts to wipe out the cells that have the virus and the sufferer recovers and stops shedding the virus. 3/ If someone comes in contact with the sufferer during the time they're shedding virus and the virus becomes attached to the contact person's cells the process repeats. If nobody comes into contact with the sufferer during the time they are shedding the virus the cycle of spread stops THERE. 4/ Unless you eradicate the virus completely by finding & isolating the origin cases, and all known contacts, the spread will reignite, just like a forest fire can restart from embers. So YES, a repeat is "expected once people co mingle." New Zealand is a first world island nation with a democratic, open, & non-corrupt government, and just under 5 million people. We have clear physical borders, not even Michael Phelps could swim here and sneak in. Isolation of cases and tracking and isolation of all contacts was begun from Case No 1. On 21st March we had 52 total cases altogether. On 22nd March the government announced a lockdown would begin nationwide at midnight on March 25th. In NZ, as of yesterday, we have had 950 confirmed or suspected cases, under 20 people in hospital across the country with Covid-19, 2 patients in ICU, and 1 death. But despite testing increasing, and now made available to anyone showing symptoms, we are seeing new confirmed and suspected cases essentially flat for the last 13 days and the ratio of positive tests : tests performed decreasing. The actual new diagnosis numbers (daily sum: new test confirmed + symptomatically likely but currently testing -ve) from 22 March are - 50,53,50,78,85,83,63,75,58,61,89,71,82. Our epidemiologists are starting to talk about not just "flattening the curve" and spreading out the infection in our country over a prolonged period of time, but actually raising the possibility of eradicating the virus within our borders. The majority of our cases are directly linked to overseas travellers, with approx. 1% of all cases "community spread" where the original source is unknown. There is a long way to go before we could say that eradication was likely, but we do appear to have flattened the curve. If we don't eradicate the virus then our health officials and government expect spot breakouts once the highest level lockdown (Currently Level 4 - the highest - on a 4 level system) is stopped. https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus
  3. Published by these guys, who have reasons to have an editorial bias (American based Falun Gong organisation). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Tang_Dynasty_Television Take everything, unless it is from a apolitical source, with a large dose of scepticism. Keep your brain switched on. They could be correct, but we have no easy way of fact checking their allegation.
  4. Mea culpa. I was going to do as you have done. The parallels in technique are obvious, and I gained some new insights from watching it. The techniques are clearly explained and available in 1080 50fps video.
  5. Should come with a warning that it may damage your device/computer. I'm just wiping the drool off my screen!
  6. Absolutely agree, and the vaccine widely distributed. (This is not a cue for a vaccine vs. anti-vaxxers flame war). Business leaders here in NZ now saying that international travel/tourism at any significant level will need the same thing, tourism being a major contributor to our GDP. Travellers will probably need evidence of immunity via a certififed antibody assay.
  7. What blows me away, having tried to shoot video of others while riding my own board, is the riding/tracking skills of the guy with the (gimballed) camera!
  8. Assuming that Pokkis' provided setup data is correct, his(her!) stance is also long for his(her!) height. 58cm! I've gradually moved out to 56cm and I'm 182cm with relatively long legs for my height. Might have to try longer whenever I next get on snow. PS: See Pokkis comment below - setup data from the video on YouTube - Thanks @pokkis PPS: Kira is a girl!? Then I have to carve like a girl!
  9. "+" style upper body despite the relatively low angles. Very flexible waist/lower spine/hips rotation to allow that difference to exist. Exemplar style. If I was going to show one video to a softbooter who wants to carve - THIS ONE!
  10. Likely this season will not happen.
  11. Original reference for DIY mask research above. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258525804_Testing_the_Efficacy_of_Homemade_Masks_Would_They_Protect_in_an_Influenza_Pandemic#pf7 Just made my own using my neoprene face protector from snowboarding plus a folded bandana inside, counting 12 layers of bandana, an air seal close to the N95 mask I practised with at work the other day and enough humidity absorption that my glasses don't fog. NZ goes into Wuhan level lockdown nationwide in 26 hours time for initially 4 weeks. I'm sure I'll be doing some carpet carving trying some stuff out, and watching lots of carving videos. At least when I'm home resting up between whatever shifts we end up working at the hospital.
  12. Made by Siouxsie (Susie) Wiles, a currently purple haired microbiologist from NZ, not your typical academic! Just one of the people helping with the response here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siouxsie_Wiles
  13. Playlist of the instruction videos I've found. The above video is in the list. Tried to put together a number of playlists of useful videos for riders so have a look around the channel. Recently made them public. RiotSupercarver (YouTube) = SunSurfer(AlpineSnowboarder.com)
  14. In the midst of this pandemic there are many sources of information. There are already a lot of conspiracy theories and misinformation. Go for authoritative information, your local health authorities, the world wide respected CDC, Centres for Disease Control. View anything on Facebook etc which does not have an official source with caution. I haven't watched the video John has posted above. The comment is a general one, not specifically directed at the posted video.
  15. Wearing my anesthesiologist hat, non-invasive ventilation very effectively aerosolises the virus. Recommendations are for intubation earlier than usual to support patients but enable sealed systems to be used to minimise aerosol spread. The other issue is not just the number of ventilators, but the number of people with the skills to operate them. Lots of people thinking hard about ways to get us all through this. Keep thinking John.
  16. Just seen a new horror of this pandemic. Personal protective equipment training for our all anaesthesia department staff today. The viral filter masks don't seal if you have any significant beard. Just fully seen a number of my male colleagues faces for the first time ever!
  17. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/coronavirus-may-make-millions-of-americans-sick-but-we-only-have-about-100000-ventilators/ To help you understand the stats around the whole heap of trouble the USA is in. 538 is a USA based, reasonably politically neutral, and has some of the best writers around to make statistics accessible. The article may also help with linking your behaviour as an individual and the effect that has on your country/society as a whole. Not all doom and gloom.
  18. Coming to the realisation that there is no guarantee of a NZ season this year for me. Fields may not open, OR, our hospital system may be running on empty for staff by then and my time off is not possible. PPE training this week for all our anaesthesia dept staff, (ED & ICU staff already done) with plans to use our younger staff in the frontline to start with. This is a long game, play will continue till vaccination is widely distributed.
  19. Right now Jack, that's as close to a hug as anyone should give to someone who isn't immediate family.
  20. Not so sure. If Photoshopped someone has gone to the trouble of putting accurate cord reflections on the ptex surface near the nose.
  21. https://www.denverpost.com/2020/03/11/coronavirus-aspen-australians/amp That will put a dampener on some people's plans.
  22. Maybe the ladies here could suggest a collective term for gigolos. Like a herd of cows, a flock of sheep, a murder of crows.
  23. Just 5 confirmed cases in NZ so far and no new cases for 6 days but no complacency where I work in NZs health service. Planning committee at our hospital meets daily. Our hospitals are expecting to need to admit to ICU level care about 5% of confirmed cases and ventilate 1-2%. We anticipate the need to triage ventilator care, that is to select which cases receive it because the numbers potentially benefitting will exceed our ability to supply it. NZ significantly has better leave and income support protection for workers than the USA. We have a universally available public healthcare system which is centrally organised and coordinated. As a result we anticipate NZers are more likely to self isolate when appropriate rather than turn up to work, and to seek healthcare when they do get sick knowing that they will not face prohibitive healthcare costs. Hopefully that will translate into slower community spread and overall a lower case fatality rate.
  24. I hope for all of our sakes this is just a first world problem for us. But the statistics would suggest that some of the people who hang out here are going to get very sick, and a number may die, in any of the countries represented here. When we look back at this coming time in a few years missing a sporting event may seem a very small price compared with what others will have lost.
  25. Harem? Not sure what the female equivalent for a collection of male pleasure persons is????!
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