So we have a Monday night race league at Tyrol Basin, a little pimple of a hill just west of Madison, WI.
Ten of us are on the team (two skiiers, the rest boarders).
It's a lot of fun, but generally there's not much competition... the rankings amongst ourselves is usually the same. I'm a second slower than the guy above me and 1-2 faster than the guy below me, and so on.
What I'd like to do is devise a way we can all throw a buck in a pool and compete in such a way that we all have a shot.
So one way might be:
- Average the last 2 race times. You get a bonus based on the difference from the fastest guy on the team, strictly based on time.
So for example (using actual numbers from our first race this season http://www.nastar.com/index.jsp?pagename=raceresults&race=72605&year=2010)
Tim: 20.49
Brett: 20.71
John: 21.21
Aaron: 25.8
Rochelle: 32.5
So the bonuses for the following week would be:
Tim: 0
Brett: 0.22
John: 0.72
Aaron: 5.31
Rochelle: 12.01
... and then the winner would be whomever is fastest after subtracting the bonus.
The course (of course) is slightly different each week, so by using time instead of handicap you're not comparing apples to apples... but if you use handicap, the delta between people is much huger. For example:
Tim: 23.21
Brett: 24.53
John: 27.54
Aaron: 55.14
Rochelle: 103.25
So by simple subtraction the handicap bonus would be:
Tim: 0
Brett: 1.32
John: 4.33
Aaron: 31.93
Rochelle: 80.04
... so simply subtracting this from the handicap and the deviation would be quite high. As the boarders are better, the handicap is more stable, but as you get slower, it changes a lot more. So I like handicap to keep the comparison more fair, but how to deal with the higher fluctuation?
The goal is if a rider has a good night, they should win. But I don't want it to be random, either.
Just sort of brainstorming here, so any suggestions, please speak up.
Also, an enhancement might be to include more races in the the past for bonus calculation... but we don't have a lot of data points; only 6 races per season (and not everyone raced last year).